Archive for the ‘Forecasting’ Category

Essential 2016 Trends Overload Here!

Monday, December 14th, 2015

OUTLOOK ’16 /// Essential trends for 2016 by Ezra Eeman.

From the post:

The world is changing. In small iterations and disruptive shifts. New platforms emerge, new technologies shape our behaviour. The need for new business models and new talent was never more urgent. In order to stay ahead newsroom leaders and journalists have to look forward and understand the emerging trends that are/will be changing our daily lives.

OUTLOOK ‘16/// is a broad & growing collection of trend reports about media, technology and society. The selection is handmade in collaboration with VRT Start-Up. The order is random.

There are 17 trend reports as I write this post and no doubt more will be added as 2016 inches ever closer.

This is a growing collection. New relevant reports will be added when they are released. A Dutch version of this collection can be found here.

Want to suggest a great trend report for this collection? Mail us at

Hat tip to Journalism Tools for the collecting, which saves all of us the time of mining for 2016 trend reports.

Are you going to read all seventeen reports? Or whatever the ultimate number of trend reports?

How would you curate all seventeen+ reports to enable others to quickly survey the results and dip in and out of them?

PS: The “4 min read” is deceptive. You can scan the titles of all 17 trend reports in 4 minutes but be woefully short of reading time for all of them.

OTexts​.org is launched

Monday, September 30th, 2013

OTexts​.org is launched by Rob J Hyn­d­man.

From the post:

The pub­lish­ing plat­form I set up for my fore­cast­ing book has now been extended to cover more books and greater func­tion­al­ity. Check it out at www​.otexts​.org.

So far, we have three com­plete books:

  1. Fore­cast­ing: prin­ci­ples and prac­tice, by Rob J Hyn­d­man and George Athana­sopou­los
  2. Sta­tis­ti­cal foun­da­tions of machine learn­ing, by Gian­luca Bon­tempi and Souhaib Ben Taieb
  3. Modal logic of strict neces­sity and poss­bibil­ity, by Evgeni Lati­nov is looking for readers, authors and donors.

Saying you support open access is one thing.

Supporting open access by contributing content or funding is another.

Forecasting: principles and practice

Wednesday, May 23rd, 2012

Forecasting: principles and practice: An online textbook by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos.

From the preface:

Wel­come to our new online text­book on fore­cast­ing. This book is intended as a replace­ment for Makri­dakis, Wheel­wright and Hyn­d­man (Wiley 1998).

The entire book is avail­able online and free-of-charge. Of course, we won’t make much money doing this, but text­books never make much money any­way — the pub­lish­ers make all the money. We’d rather cre­ate some­thing that is widely used and use­ful, than have large pub­lish­ers profit from our efforts.

Even­tu­ally a print ver­sion of the book will be avail­able to pur­chase on Ama­zon, but not until a few more chap­ters are written.

This text­book is intended to pro­vide a com­pre­hen­sive intro­duc­tion to fore­cast­ing meth­ods and present enough infor­ma­tion about each method for read­ers to use them sen­si­bly. We don’t attempt to give a thor­ough dis­cus­sion of the the­o­ret­i­cal details behind each method, although the ref­er­ences at the end of each chap­ter will fill in many of those details.

The book is writ­ten for three audi­ences: (1) people find­ing them­selves doing fore­cast­ing in busi­ness when they may not have had any for­mal train­ing in the area; (2) undergraduate stu­dents study­ing busi­ness; (3) MBA stu­dents doing a fore­cast­ing elec­tive. We use it our­selves for a second-year sub­ject for stu­dents under­tak­ing a Bach­e­lor of Com­merce degree at Monash Uni­ver­sity, Australia.

Should be a useful resource for learning the forecasting “lingo” in a business context. Or for learning forecasting for that matter.

The middle chapters on regression, as the authors point out, are unfinished by they hope to have the book complete by the end of 2012.

It could be a really nice gesture on our part if we all read a chapter or so and suggested corrections to improvements to the prose.